Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 2.298549 2.623452 2.978257 3.394557 3.869773 4.395510 5.021544
2025-08-24 1.811095 2.255227 2.783935 3.460122 4.302774 5.319443 6.641174
2025-08-31 1.539184 2.034726 2.660633 3.510062 4.634578 6.074961 8.064809
2025-09-07 1.324017 1.837957 2.519321 3.490064 4.840490 6.657284 9.295658
2025-09-14 1.147279 1.661388 2.372147 3.428324 4.962135 7.115469 10.381295
2025-09-21 1.016311 1.528452 2.263540 3.397872 5.109901 7.607087 11.545014
2025-09-28 0.903594 1.406575 2.153613 3.346762 5.212052 8.029476 12.633739
2025-10-05 0.876718 1.409501 2.226542 3.574317 5.752071 9.151093 14.895211
2025-10-12 0.808704 1.339629 2.178342 3.603947 5.979164 9.801032 16.464279
2025-10-19 0.769442 1.311181 2.191352 3.730496 6.370482 10.742858 18.594881
2025-10-26 0.706593 1.236553 2.120631 3.708464 6.507509 11.271202 20.068095
2025-11-02 0.651389 1.169203 2.055027 3.687037 6.640026 11.797920 21.580091
2025-11-09 0.590052 1.089322 1.967609 3.632181 6.732739 12.307058 23.197406
2025-11-16 0.552969 1.050219 1.949931 3.704507 7.069849 13.299291 25.840211
2025-11-23 0.517454 1.009683 1.924538 3.757920 7.374112 14.256972 28.516497
2025-11-30 0.476351 0.953759 1.864085 3.736498 7.529680 14.944291 30.732936
2025-12-07 0.434594 0.891922 1.785634 3.670349 7.587627 15.443160 32.617816
2025-12-14 0.401017 0.842913 1.727220 3.637723 7.708438 16.076443 34.845491
2025-12-21 0.368655 0.792955 1.661723 3.582964 7.775923 16.604044 36.900948
2025-12-28 0.367534 0.808937 1.733629 3.826768 8.505693 18.595617 42.374819
2026-01-04 0.347089 0.780823 1.709415 3.858514 8.773379 19.616390 45.780164
2026-01-11 0.336916 0.774368 1.731111 3.994105 9.286717 21.227521 50.716211
2026-01-18 0.314923 0.738835 1.685099 3.970498 9.431574 22.019902 53.807350